NASDAQ · STOCK
United Parcel Service
$109.96
52W $82.00 – $122.41
52/100
$94.97B
18.0
1.04
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Daily uptrend conflicts with weekly downtrend — buying against the higher timeframe trend is higher risk.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 13.8% downside vs 0.6% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
The AI Investment Committee is an ensemble of six specialized analytical agents: Value Analyst, Technical Analyst, Growth Analyst, Risk Analyst, Macro Analyst, and News Analyst. Each agent independently evaluates UPS using dedicated data signals, then the committee aggregates their verdicts into a final score and recommendation. This multi-agent approach reduces individual model bias and provides a more balanced investment assessment.
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.129
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$94.06
Resistance
$109.77
Bollinger %B
0.64
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$109.36
Above
EMA 21
$108.09
Above
EMA 50
$106.18
Above
EMA 200
$103.53
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
5
Profitability
76
Financial Health
43
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.0×
P/B Ratio
5.19×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
5.86%
52W High
$122.41
52W Low
$82.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
3303.0%
ROA
731.0%
Gross Margin
8306.0%
Operating Margin
846.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
-285.0%
Debt / Equity
1.49
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 18.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.2x; Revenue growth (YoY) of -2.9%; EPS growth (YoY) of -9.8%; Return on equity of 33.0%; Return on assets of 7.3%; Net margin of 5.9%; Gross margin of 83.1%; Current ratio of 1.22 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.49; Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
Key Risks
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 13.8% downside vs 0.6% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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