GEO vs WMS
The GEO Group, Inc. vs Advanced Drainage Systems — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
68
Buy
VS
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
71
Buy
| Metric | GEO | WMS |
|---|
| AI Score |
68
|
71
|
| Price |
$31.75
|
$143.75
|
| P/E Ratio |
14.84×
|
24.64×
|
| ROE |
16.9%
|
22.1%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
42.4%
|
37.6%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.06×
|
0.95×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.0%
|
0.5%
|
| RSI (14) |
63.7
|
42.5
|
| Beta |
0.779
|
1.286
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
+2.6%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for GEO versus WMS.
WMS leads by 3 points.
WMS scores 71/100 (Buy) versus GEO at 68/100 (Buy).
GEO Committee View
80% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is p/e of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 81 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
WMS Committee View
100% agreement
4 analysts
The primary driver is 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Three Black Crows.