GEO vs ZTO
The GEO Group, Inc. vs ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
GEO
The GEO Group, Inc.
68
Buy
VS
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
69
Buy
| Metric | GEO | ZTO |
|---|
| AI Score |
68
|
69
|
| Price |
$31.75
|
$23.16
|
| P/E Ratio |
14.84×
|
13.80×
|
| ROE |
16.9%
|
13.3%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
42.4%
|
24.9%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.06×
|
0.35×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.0%
|
2.9%
|
| RSI (14) |
63.7
|
36.5
|
| Beta |
0.779
|
-0.22
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for GEO versus ZTO.
ZTO leads by 1 points.
ZTO scores 69/100 (Buy) versus GEO at 68/100 (Buy).
GEO Committee View
80% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is p/e of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 81 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
ZTO Committee View
100% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.0 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.9% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way — News