GVA vs WMS
Granite Construction Incorporated vs Advanced Drainage Systems — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
GVA
Granite Construction Incorporated
57
Watch
VS
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems
71
Buy
| Metric | GVA | WMS |
|---|
| AI Score |
57
|
71
|
| Price |
$125.48
|
$143.75
|
| P/E Ratio |
-33.25×
|
24.64×
|
| ROE |
16.4%
|
22.1%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
15.6%
|
37.6%
|
| Debt / Equity |
2.30×
|
0.95×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.4%
|
0.5%
|
| RSI (14) |
52.8
|
42.5
|
| Beta |
1.335
|
1.286
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
+2.6%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for GVA versus WMS.
WMS leads by 14 points.
WMS scores 71/100 (Buy) versus GVA at 57/100 (Watch).
GVA Committee View
40% agreement
5 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -16.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (7d ago) — News
WMS Committee View
100% agreement
4 analysts
The primary driver is 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Three Black Crows.