GVA vs ZTO
Granite Construction Incorporated vs ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
GVA
Granite Construction Incorporated
57
Watch
VS
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
69
Buy
| Metric | GVA | ZTO |
|---|
| AI Score |
57
|
69
|
| Price |
$125.48
|
$23.16
|
| P/E Ratio |
-33.25×
|
13.80×
|
| ROE |
16.4%
|
13.3%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
15.6%
|
24.9%
|
| Debt / Equity |
2.30×
|
0.35×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.4%
|
2.9%
|
| RSI (14) |
52.8
|
36.5
|
| Beta |
1.335
|
-0.22
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for GVA versus ZTO.
ZTO leads by 12 points.
ZTO scores 69/100 (Buy) versus GVA at 57/100 (Watch).
GVA Committee View
40% agreement
5 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -16.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (7d ago) — News
ZTO Committee View
100% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.0 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.9% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way — News