ITW vs LII
Illinois Tool Works vs Lennox International — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
ITW
Illinois Tool Works
68
Buy
VS
LII
Lennox International
49
Watch
| Metric | ITW | LII |
|---|
| AI Score |
68
|
49
|
| Price |
$282.07
|
$393.62
|
| P/E Ratio |
25.70×
|
17.99×
|
| ROE |
95.1%
|
67.6%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
44.2%
|
33.1%
|
| Debt / Equity |
3.35×
|
1.56×
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.3%
|
1.3%
|
| RSI (14) |
39.1
|
26.0
|
| Beta |
1.005
|
1.199
|
| Expected Upside |
+6.8%
|
+38.0%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for ITW versus LII.
ITW leads by 19 points.
ITW scores 68/100 (Buy) versus LII at 49/100 (Watch).
ITW Committee View
100% agreement
4 analysts
The primary driver is 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 3063.01). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
LII Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 36.1% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 67.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 14.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Revenue declining -2.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -3.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth