LUMN vs MTCH
Lumen Technologies, Inc. vs Match Group, Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
LUMN
Lumen Technologies, Inc.
43
Reduce
VS
MTCH
Match Group, Inc.
64
Buy
| Metric | LUMN | MTCH |
| AI Score |
43
|
64
|
| Price |
$6.38
|
$36.80
|
| P/E Ratio |
-6.24×
|
12.35×
|
| ROE |
155.7%
|
-242.0%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
47.8%
|
74.8%
|
| Debt / Equity |
-8.88×
|
-14.98×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.0%
|
2.1%
|
| RSI (14) |
49.2
|
36.3
|
| Beta |
1.813
|
1.32
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for LUMN versus MTCH.
MTCH leads by 21 points.
MTCH scores 64/100 (Buy) versus LUMN at 43/100 (Reduce).
LUMN Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -7.7% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 11.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -80.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 38.59 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
MTCH Committee View
60% agreement
5 analysts
The primary driver is p/e of 11.9 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 11.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 17.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 41.0% YoY — Growth
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical