LUMN · NYSE · STOCK
Lumen Technologies, Inc.
$6.38
52W $3.75 – $11.95
43/100
$6.57B
-6.2
1.81
Is LUMN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) Reduce with a composite score of 43/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Watch
- Requires a committee score of 45.0 — +2.45 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Sell
- Requires the score to fall below 25.0 — -17.55 from today. The band boundary is 30.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -7.7% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.86 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 11.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -80.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 38.59 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -7.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
43/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 100%
of 51 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 11.6x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
15
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -7.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 38.59) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.079
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$6.28
Resistance
$9.71
Bollinger %B
0.48
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$6.36
Above
EMA 21
$6.52
Below
EMA 50
$7.12
Below
EMA 200
$7.43
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
42
Financial Health
57
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-6.2×
P/B Ratio
-4.31×
PEG Ratio
0.32
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$11.95
52W Low
$3.75
Quality & Growth
ROE
15568.5%
ROA
-506.4%
Gross Margin
4779.4%
Operating Margin
-336.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-8.88
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -6.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -4.3x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 155.7%; Return on assets of -5.1%; Net margin of -8.7%; Gross margin of 47.8%; Current ratio of 0.96 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -8.88; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.83); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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