MTCH · NASDAQ · STOCK
Match Group (MTCH) Stock Analysis
$41.09
52W $28.81 – $44.94
64/100
$9.58B
13.8
1.43
Is MTCH Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) Buy with a composite score of 64/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.83 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.17 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 13.4 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.4 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 17.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 41.0% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 9%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 13.4 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
72
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 41.0% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 64.2 to 64.2.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
52.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.048
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.44
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$40.87
Above
EMA 21
$41.02
Above
EMA 50
$40.49
Above
EMA 200
$37.10
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
76
Profitability
75
Financial Health
88
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.8×
P/B Ratio
-40.30×
PEG Ratio
0.35
Dividend Yield
1.92%
52W High
$44.94
52W Low
$28.81
Quality & Growth
ROE
-24198.7%
ROA
1375.2%
Gross Margin
7479.7%
Operating Margin
2815.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-14.98
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -40.3x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -242.0%; Return on assets of 13.8%; Net margin of 20.2%; Gross margin of 74.8%; Current ratio of 1.72 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -14.98; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.91); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.7%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-18.1% -> +2.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Get the Full MTCH Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →