MTCH · NASDAQ · STOCK
Match Group, Inc.
$36.80
52W $28.81 – $41.40
64/100
$8.58B
12.3
1.32
Is MTCH Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) Buy with a composite score of 64/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.83 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.17 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is p/e of 11.9 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 11.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 17.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 41.0% YoY — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.41 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 11%
of 51 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 11.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 41.0% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
36.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.403
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$33.85
Resistance
$38.93
Bollinger %B
0.14
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$37.89
Below
EMA 21
$38.23
Below
EMA 50
$37.56
Below
EMA 200
$35.02
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
75
Financial Health
88
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.3×
P/B Ratio
-36.09×
PEG Ratio
0.31
Dividend Yield
2.12%
52W High
$41.40
52W Low
$28.81
Quality & Growth
ROE
-24198.7%
ROA
1375.2%
Gross Margin
7479.7%
Operating Margin
2815.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-14.98
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 12.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -36.1x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -242.0%; Return on assets of 13.8%; Net margin of 20.2%; Gross margin of 74.8%; Current ratio of 1.72 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -14.98; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.91); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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