MPC vs SM
Marathon Petroleum vs SM Energy Company — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
MPC
Marathon Petroleum
71
Buy
VS
SM
SM Energy Company
59
Watch
| Metric | MPC | SM |
|---|
| AI Score |
71
|
59
|
| Price |
$336.38
|
$32.49
|
| P/E Ratio |
11.58×
|
8.40×
|
| ROE |
23.4%
|
13.5%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
11.6%
|
61.5%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.80×
|
0.90×
|
| Dividend Yield |
1.2%
|
2.6%
|
| RSI (14) |
64.7
|
62.0
|
| Beta |
0.513
|
0.738
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for MPC versus SM.
MPC leads by 12 points.
MPC scores 71/100 (Buy) versus SM at 59/100 (Watch).
MPC Committee View
100% agreement
4 analysts
The primary driver is 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
SM Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 7.4 is inexpensive for the broad market. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.69 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- P/E of 7.4 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 16.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
- EPS declining -28.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical