NJR vs VST
New Jersey Resources vs Vistra Corp. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
NJR
New Jersey Resources
51
Watch
VS
VST
Vistra Corp.
52
Watch
| Metric | NJR | VST |
|---|
| AI Score |
51
|
52
|
| Price |
$53.81
|
$139.02
|
| P/E Ratio |
14.78×
|
22.65×
|
| ROE |
14.0%
|
18.5%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
28.3%
|
13.0%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.47×
|
3.63×
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.5%
|
0.7%
|
| RSI (14) |
31.7
|
29.9
|
| Beta |
0.527
|
1.433
|
| Expected Upside |
+3.9%
|
+24.1%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for NJR versus VST.
VST leads by 1 points.
VST scores 52/100 (Watch) versus NJR at 51/100 (Watch).
NJR Committee View
67% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.51) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.9% pays you to wait — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.51 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -11.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
VST Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 28 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.10) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 43.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 10.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.10 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -5.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth