NTRS vs TPG
Northern Trust Corporation vs TPG Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
NTRS
Northern Trust Corporation
73
Buy
VS
| Metric | NTRS | TPG |
|---|
| AI Score |
73
|
58
|
| Price |
$187.74
|
$50.62
|
| P/E Ratio |
16.04×
|
41.48×
|
| ROE |
13.4%
|
15.6%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
59.8%
|
95.9%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.18×
|
0.52×
|
| Dividend Yield |
1.7%
|
4.4%
|
| RSI (14) |
69.7
|
80.7
|
| Beta |
1.259
|
1.421
|
| Expected Upside |
—
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for NTRS versus TPG.
NTRS leads by 15 points.
NTRS scores 73/100 (Buy) versus TPG at 58/100 (Watch).
NTRS Committee View
100% agreement
4 analysts
The primary driver is 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- Weekly RSI at 79 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
TPG Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 30.2% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.53) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 20.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.5% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 30.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
Bear Case
- P/E of 80.4 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 20.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 1.53 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value