TPG · NASDAQ · STOCK
TPG Inc.
$50.62
52W $36.95 – $70.38
58/100
$19.40B
41.5
1.42
Is TPG Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates TPG Inc. (TPG) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +1.97 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -18.03 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 30.2% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.53) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 20.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.5% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 30.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 140.6% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 80.4 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 20.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 1.53 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- RSI at 81 is in overbought territory — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.53) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.21 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 78%
of 209 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ ROE of 20.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 80.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 30.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 81 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.53) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 15 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
80.7
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.678
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$39.53
Resistance
$54.58
Bollinger %B
0.98
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$47.83
Above
EMA 21
$45.69
Above
EMA 50
$44.06
Above
EMA 200
$47.53
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
40
Profitability
54
Financial Health
77
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
41.5×
P/B Ratio
6.74×
PEG Ratio
0.03
Dividend Yield
4.43%
52W High
$70.38
52W Low
$36.95
Quality & Growth
ROE
1557.4%
ROA
136.8%
Gross Margin
9585.8%
Operating Margin
1769.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.52
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 41.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.7x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 15.6%; Return on assets of 1.4%; Net margin of 4.7%; Gross margin of 95.9%; Current ratio of 1.46 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.52; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.57); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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