NWE vs VST
NorthWestern Energy vs Vistra Corp. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
NWE
NorthWestern Energy
51
Watch
VS
VST
Vistra Corp.
53
Watch
| Metric | NWE | VST |
|---|
| AI Score |
51
|
53
|
| Price |
$69.65
|
$135.66
|
| P/E Ratio |
24.89×
|
22.74×
|
| ROE |
6.3%
|
18.5%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
66.5%
|
13.0%
|
| Debt / Equity |
1.24×
|
3.63×
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.8%
|
0.7%
|
| RSI (14) |
35.7
|
30.8
|
| Beta |
0.36
|
1.433
|
| Expected Upside |
+1.7%
|
+23.6%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for NWE versus VST.
VST leads by 2 points.
VST scores 53/100 (Watch) versus NWE at 51/100 (Watch).
NWE Committee View
33% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.72 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 5.0% pays you to wait — Value
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -24.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
VST Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 29 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.10) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 43.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 10.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.10 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -5.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth