ONTO vs TSM
Onto Innovation vs Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
ONTO
Onto Innovation
64
Buy
VS
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg.
69
Buy
| Metric | ONTO | TSM |
|---|
| AI Score |
64
|
69
|
| Price |
$291.66
|
$418.59
|
| P/E Ratio |
114.61×
|
27.59×
|
| ROE |
6.5%
|
32.4%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
50.4%
|
64.2%
|
| Debt / Equity |
0.77×
|
0.15×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.0%
|
0.9%
|
| RSI (14) |
63.4
|
58.7
|
| Beta |
1.587
|
1.392
|
| Expected Upside |
+2.5%
|
+14.0%
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for ONTO versus TSM.
TSM leads by 5 points.
TSM scores 69/100 (Buy) versus ONTO at 64/100 (Buy).
ONTO Committee View
60% agreement
5 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 35.3% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Bollinger bandwidth of 35.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
TSM Committee View
67% agreement
6 analysts
The primary driver is revenue growing 31.4% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. The main limiting factor is p/e of 27.1 is moderate-to-rich. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull Case
- ROE of 39.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 31.4% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 55.2% YoY — Growth
Bear Case
- P/E of 27.1 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 7.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value