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POOL vs ZTO

Pool Corporation vs ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
POOL
Pool Corporation
60
Watch
VS
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
69
Buy
MetricPOOLZTO
AI Score 60 69
Price $201.44 $23.16
P/E Ratio 18.50× 13.80×
ROE 34.3% 13.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
Gross Margin 29.6% 24.9%
Debt / Equity 1.35× 0.35×
Dividend Yield 2.5% 2.9%
RSI (14) 54.0 36.5
Beta 1.054 -0.22
Expected Upside

AI Committee View

Current Innellis committee reasoning for POOL versus ZTO.
ZTO leads by 9 points.

ZTO scores 69/100 (Buy) versus POOL at 60/100 (Watch).

POOL Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull Case
  • ROE of 32.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait — Value
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 7.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
ZTO Committee View
100% agreement
6 analysts

The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.17) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The main limiting factor is 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull Case
  • P/E of 13.0 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
  • Dividend yield of 2.9% pays you to wait — Value
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
  • No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way — News
Want the full breakdown?
Committee votes, technicals, and trade plans for both companies.
POOL Full Analysis ZTO Full Analysis