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SM vs VLO

SM Energy Company vs Valero Energy — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
SM
SM Energy Company
59
Watch
VS
VLO
Valero Energy
70
Buy
MetricSMVLO
AI Score 59 70
Price $32.49 $323.85
P/E Ratio 8.40× 13.43×
ROE 13.5% 9.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
Gross Margin 61.5% 11.3%
Debt / Equity 0.90× 0.45×
Dividend Yield 2.6% 1.5%
RSI (14) 62.0 64.2
Beta 0.738 0.554
Expected Upside

AI Committee View

Current Innellis committee reasoning for SM versus VLO.
VLO leads by 11 points.

VLO scores 70/100 (Buy) versus SM at 59/100 (Watch).

SM Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts

The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 7.4 is inexpensive for the broad market. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.69 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull Case
  • P/E of 7.4 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
  • Price-to-book of 0.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
  • ROE of 16.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
Bear Case
  • EPS declining -28.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
VLO Committee View
75% agreement
4 analysts

The primary driver is 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Most analysts agree, and no major concerns are blocking a stronger rating.

Bull Case
  • 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Want the full breakdown?
Committee votes, technicals, and trade plans for both companies.
SM Full Analysis VLO Full Analysis