TOL vs UAA
Toll Brothers vs Under Armour, Inc. — AI-powered side-by-side comparison
VS
UAA
Under Armour, Inc.
44
Reduce
| Metric | TOL | UAA |
|---|
| AI Score |
73
|
44
|
| Price |
$152.94
|
$5.33
|
| P/E Ratio |
11.48×
|
-4.50×
|
| ROE |
16.3%
|
-35.0%
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
—
|
—
|
| Gross Margin |
24.9%
|
47.0%
|
| Debt / Equity |
0.34×
|
0.96×
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.7%
|
0.0%
|
| RSI (14) |
46.8
|
15.0
|
| Beta |
1.34
|
1.651
|
| Expected Upside |
+2.4%
|
—
|
AI Committee View
Current Innellis committee reasoning for TOL versus UAA.
TOL leads by 29 points.
TOL scores 73/100 (Buy) versus UAA at 44/100 (Reduce).
TOL Committee View
75% agreement
4 analysts
The primary driver is quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Most analysts agree, and no major concerns are blocking a stronger rating.
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 7.7% downside vs 2.4% upside.
UAA Committee View
50% agreement
6 analysts
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -3.8% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull Case
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.63 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -30.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -3.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- RSI at 15 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical