UAA · NYSE · STOCK
Under Armour (UAA) Stock Analysis
$4.93
52W $4.13 – $8.15
49/100
$2.10B
-4.1
1.62
Is UAA Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Under Armour, Inc. (UAA) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.12 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.88 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -32.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -3.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 93%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -32.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -3.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 48.9 to 48.9.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
65.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.081
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$4.81
Resistance
$6.84
Bollinger %B
0.72
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$4.77
Above
EMA 21
$4.80
Above
EMA 50
$5.15
Below
EMA 200
$5.72
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
85
Profitability
17
Financial Health
81
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-4.1×
P/B Ratio
1.43×
PEG Ratio
-0.02
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$8.15
52W Low
$4.13
Quality & Growth
ROE
-3504.4%
ROA
-1122.5%
Gross Margin
4701.1%
Operating Margin
29.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.96
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -4.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -35.0%; Return on assets of -11.2%; Net margin of -10.0%; Gross margin of 47.0%; Current ratio of 1.81 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.96; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.19); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 184.1%; EPS growth accelerating (-133.3% -> +266.7% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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