UAA · NYSE · STOCK
Under Armour, Inc.
$5.33
52W $4.13 – $8.15
44/100
$2.28B
-4.5
1.65
Is UAA Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Under Armour, Inc. (UAA) Reduce with a composite score of 44/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Watch
- Requires a committee score of 45.0 — +0.81 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Sell
- Requires the score to fall below 25.0 — -19.19 from today. The band boundary is 30.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -3.8% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.63 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -30.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -3.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- RSI at 15 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 31.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
44/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 99%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -30.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
15
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -3.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 15 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 31.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
15.0
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.200
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$4.81
Resistance
$6.84
Bollinger %B
-0.19
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$6.25
Below
EMA 21
$6.53
Below
EMA 50
$6.45
Below
EMA 200
$6.13
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
17
Financial Health
81
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-4.5×
P/B Ratio
1.55×
PEG Ratio
-0.02
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$8.15
52W Low
$4.13
Quality & Growth
ROE
-3504.4%
ROA
-1122.5%
Gross Margin
4701.1%
Operating Margin
29.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.96
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -4.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -35.0%; Return on assets of -11.2%; Net margin of -10.0%; Gross margin of 47.0%; Current ratio of 1.81 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.96; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.19); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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