ACA · NYSE · STOCK
Arcosa (ACA) Stock Analysis
$147.18
52W $89.13 – $147.24
67/100
$7.23B
14.7
1.08
Is ACA Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) Buy with a composite score of 67/100
, based on 6 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +7.57 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -12.43 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 18.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 431.7% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- RSI at 72 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 78 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
67/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 0%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.7 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 431.7% YoY
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 72 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 3 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 67.4 to 67.4.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: +2 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
72.4
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.009
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.92
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$146.59
Above
EMA 21
$146.27
Above
EMA 50
$144.87
Above
EMA 200
$130.17
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Growth
68
Profitability
45
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
14.7×
P/B Ratio
2.42×
PEG Ratio
0.03
Dividend Yield
0.14%
52W High
$147.24
52W Low
$89.13
Quality & Growth
ROE
794.7%
ROA
427.8%
Gross Margin
2303.5%
Operating Margin
1182.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.48
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 14.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.9%; Return on assets of 4.3%; Net margin of 17.9%; Gross margin of 23.0%; Current ratio of 3.12 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.48; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.75); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 6.1%; EPS growth accelerating (-29.6% -> +39.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -11.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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