ALM · NASDAQ · STOCK
Almonty Industries Inc.
$13.29
52W $3.97 – $24.41
61/100
$3.77B
-21.9
2.05
Is ALM Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.75 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.25 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 72.9% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 32.2% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 72.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 2.39 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 3 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 8.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -59.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 32.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 47%
of 95 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− Price-to-book of 8.6x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 72.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 32.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 3 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.267
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$5.44
Resistance
$22.50
Bollinger %B
0.51
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$13.28
Above
EMA 21
$13.64
Below
EMA 50
$15.05
Below
EMA 200
$14.07
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Profitability
6
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-21.9×
P/B Ratio
12.12×
PEG Ratio
0.16
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$24.41
52W Low
$3.97
Quality & Growth
ROE
-3295.2%
ROA
-1999.3%
Gross Margin
2926.2%
Operating Margin
-4696.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -21.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 12.1x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -33.0%; Return on assets of -20.0%; Net margin of -265.1%; Gross margin of 29.3%; Current ratio of 2.45 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.47; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.30); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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