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AMRZ · NYSE · STOCK

Amrize (AMRZ) Stock Analysis

Basic Materials Updated October 10, 2026
$36.19
52W $35.78 – $65.94
60/100
$20.04B
—
-0.03
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
60/100
Conviction: Moderate · 60% agreement · 5 analysts
+45.7%
Moderate

Is AMRZ Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Amrize Ltd (AMRZ) Buy with a composite score of 60/100 , based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.30 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.70 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The primary driver is news sentiment is positive (+0.30 across 10 articles, 14d). The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.30 across 10 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
  • Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
  • RSI at 24 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
  • Weekly RSI at 13 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 31%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
Growth Analyst neutral
52 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst neutral
49 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
67 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.30 across 10 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 59.9 to 59.7.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Technical Analyst: +2 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
23.8
Oversold
MACD Histogram
0.143
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.07
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$36.99 Below
EMA 21
$38.31 Below
EMA 50
$41.69 Below
EMA 200
$48.81 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Growth
44
Profitability
47
Valuation
P/E Ratio —
P/B Ratio —
PEG Ratio —
Dividend Yield —
52W High $65.94
52W Low $35.78
Quality & Growth
ROE 894.1%
ROA 488.7%
Gross Margin —
Operating Margin —
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity —
AI Fundamental Assessment
Return on equity of 8.9%; Return on assets of 4.9%; Most recent quarter missed estimates by 8.2%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-138.9% -> +519.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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