NASDAQ · STOCK
Aon plc
$354.27
52W $304.59 – $381.00
62/100
$76.36B
19.5
0.68
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 50% agreement on a bullish lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst: High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.63) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 50% agreement on a bullish lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst: High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.63) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or above 70 signals overbought conditions — bearish entry bias.
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 73.5 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (96.1) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 2.6% downside vs 0.2% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 07, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 45.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 8.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 55.3% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 74 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.63) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 19 articles, 14d)
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
73.5
Overbought
MACD Histogram
3.735
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$347.99
Resistance
$358.04
Bollinger %B
0.91
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$346.19
Above
EMA 21
$336.43
Above
EMA 50
$329.62
Above
EMA 200
$335.40
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
41
Growth
66
Profitability
86
Financial Health
35
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.5×
P/B Ratio
8.11×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
0.91%
52W High
$381.00
52W Low
$304.59
Quality & Growth
ROE
4509.0%
ROA
759.0%
Gross Margin
4779.0%
Operating Margin
3378.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+690.0%
Debt / Equity
1.63
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.1x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 6.9%; EPS growth (YoY) of 55.3%; Return on equity of 45.1%; Return on assets of 7.6%; Net margin of 22.5%; Gross margin of 47.8%; Current ratio of 1.11 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.63; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.3%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+59.0% -> +33.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- RSI is overbought at 73.5 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (96.1) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 2.6% downside vs 0.2% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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