APD · NYSE · STOCK
Air Products (APD) Stock Analysis
$305.04
52W $229.11 – $314.87
57/100
$67.94B
—
0.75
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is APD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Air Products (APD) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.65 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.35 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is price-to-book of 4.0x prices in significant intangible value. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -0.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 48%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait
− Price-to-book of 4.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.4 to 57.4.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
56.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.197
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$301.95
Resistance
$306.01
Bollinger %B
0.70
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$303.19
Above
EMA 21
$301.20
Above
EMA 50
$297.21
Above
EMA 200
$287.05
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
49
Growth
75
Profitability
8
Financial Health
42
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
4.90×
PEG Ratio
15.51
Dividend Yield
2.36%
52W High
$314.87
52W Low
$229.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
-262.6%
ROA
-96.1%
Gross Margin
3205.6%
Operating Margin
-470.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.31
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -1466.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.9x; PEG ratio of 15.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -2.6%; Return on assets of -1.0%; Net margin of -0.4%; Gross margin of 32.1%; Current ratio of 1.08 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.31; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.23); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.7%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+1.3% -> +8.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 12.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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