APD · NYSE · STOCK
Air Products (APD) Stock Analysis
$281.25
52W $229.11 – $314.87
57/100
$62.63B
—
0.76
Is APD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Air Products (APD) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.15 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.85 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Value Analyst remains cautious — price-to-book of 4.0x prices in significant intangible value. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -0.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 54%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait
− Price-to-book of 4.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.9 to 56.9.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.496
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$281.12
Resistance
$286.53
Bollinger %B
0.46
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$279.83
Above
EMA 21
$283.56
Below
EMA 50
$289.38
Below
EMA 200
$287.77
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
51
Growth
75
Profitability
8
Financial Health
42
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
4.51×
PEG Ratio
14.29
Dividend Yield
2.57%
52W High
$314.87
52W Low
$229.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
-262.6%
ROA
-96.1%
Gross Margin
3205.6%
Operating Margin
-470.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.31
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -1352.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.5x; PEG ratio of 14.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -2.6%; Return on assets of -1.0%; Net margin of -0.4%; Gross margin of 32.1%; Current ratio of 1.08 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.31; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.23); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.7%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+1.3% -> +8.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 12.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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