AU · NYSE · STOCK
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) Stock Analysis
$94.19
52W $62.55 – $129.14
62/100
$47.62B
12.5
0.74
Is AU Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.37 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.63 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is revenue growing 29.4% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 12.5 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 45.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 29.4% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 73.2% YoY — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 21 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 18%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 12.5 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 5.4x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 29.4% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 21 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.0 to 61.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->48 (+10).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.591
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$81.41
Resistance
$112.76
Bollinger %B
0.33
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$93.84
Above
EMA 21
$96.93
Below
EMA 50
$97.80
Below
EMA 200
$91.45
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
80
Growth
40
Profitability
96
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.5×
P/B Ratio
5.35×
PEG Ratio
0.13
Dividend Yield
4.80%
52W High
$129.14
52W Low
$62.55
Quality & Growth
ROE
3257.9%
ROA
1748.2%
Gross Margin
5353.9%
Operating Margin
5036.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.20
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 12.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.3x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 32.6%; Return on assets of 17.5%; Net margin of 32.2%; Gross margin of 53.5%; Current ratio of 2.71 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.20; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.32); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 20.4%; EPS growth decelerating (+32.1% -> -21.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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