AUGO · NASDAQ · STOCK
Aura Minerals
$76.06
52W $26.00 – $110.32
60/100
$6.37B
21.1
0.29
Is AUGO Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Aura Minerals (AUGO) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.83 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.17 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 89.5% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.64) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 88.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.5% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 89.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.64 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- RSI at 84 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.64) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.97 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 56.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 53%
of 95 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 88.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Debt-to-equity of 1.64 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 89.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 84 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.64) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
83.8
Overbought
MACD Histogram
2.853
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$59.47
Resistance
$90.07
Bollinger %B
1.02
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$67.38
Above
EMA 21
$62.69
Above
EMA 50
$63.62
Above
EMA 200
$61.74
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
58
Profitability
48
Financial Health
48
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.1×
P/B Ratio
13.97×
PEG Ratio
0.13
Dividend Yield
2.96%
52W High
$110.32
52W Low
$26.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2985.7%
ROA
-493.1%
Gross Margin
5683.2%
Operating Margin
4998.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 21.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 14.0x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -29.9%; Return on assets of -4.9%; Net margin of 23.2%; Gross margin of 56.8%; Current ratio of 1.06 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.00; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.09); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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