BALL · NYSE · STOCK
Ball (BALL) Stock Analysis
$58.49
52W $44.83 – $68.29
65/100
$15.56B
16.6
0.96
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is BALL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Ball Corporation (BALL) Buy with a composite score of 65/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +9.92 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -10.08 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 82.3% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 17.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 82.3% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 3.2% downside vs 0.3% upside.
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 7%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 17.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 82.3% YoY
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 65.1 to 65.1.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
58.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.231
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$56.63
Resistance
$58.64
Bollinger %B
0.52
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$57.73
Above
EMA 21
$58.50
Below
EMA 50
$59.88
Below
EMA 200
$59.24
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
92
Growth
73
Profitability
41
Financial Health
42
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.6×
P/B Ratio
2.70×
PEG Ratio
0.20
Dividend Yield
1.37%
52W High
$68.29
52W Low
$44.83
Quality & Growth
ROE
1682.3%
ROA
467.1%
Gross Margin
1644.5%
Operating Margin
1106.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.26
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.8%; Return on assets of 4.7%; Net margin of 6.6%; Gross margin of 16.4%; Current ratio of 1.07 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.26; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.11); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.9%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+3.3% -> +9.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 14.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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