AMCR · NYSE · STOCK
Amcor (AMCR) Stock Analysis
$41.73
52W $36.25 – $50.94
68/100
$19.29B
17.5
0.58
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is AMCR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Amcor (AMCR) Buy with a composite score of 68/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +6.74 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -13.26 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 56.6% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 5.3% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 56.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 188.4% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 8 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
68/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 3%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 5.3% pays you to wait
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 56.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
74
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 68.3 to 68.3.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.057
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$40.85
Resistance
$42.49
Bollinger %B
0.27
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$41.88
Below
EMA 21
$42.50
Below
EMA 50
$43.34
Below
EMA 200
$43.16
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
72
Profitability
25
Financial Health
49
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.5×
P/B Ratio
1.64×
PEG Ratio
0.51
Dividend Yield
6.23%
52W High
$50.94
52W Low
$36.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
938.1%
ROA
298.1%
Gross Margin
1995.2%
Operating Margin
807.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.28
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.4%; Return on assets of 3.0%; Net margin of 4.7%; Gross margin of 20.0%; Current ratio of 1.25 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.28; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.77); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.2%; EPS growth accelerating (+11.6% -> +28.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 14.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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