AVY · NYSE · STOCK
Avery Dennison (AVY) Stock Analysis
$184.00
52W $152.42 – $199.54
55/100
$14.05B
20.1
0.81
Is AVY Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Avery Dennison (AVY) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.13 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.87 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.66) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 31.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 6.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 1.66 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- RSI at 73 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 77 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.66) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 56%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 31.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.3x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 73 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.66) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.9 to 54.9.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
72.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.386
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$178.74
Resistance
$184.23
Bollinger %B
0.86
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$180.18
Above
EMA 21
$175.56
Above
EMA 50
$169.84
Above
EMA 200
$170.87
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
36
Growth
85
Profitability
60
Financial Health
37
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.1×
P/B Ratio
6.07×
PEG Ratio
10.61
Dividend Yield
2.08%
52W High
$199.54
52W Low
$152.42
Quality & Growth
ROE
3068.6%
ROA
781.7%
Gross Margin
2897.8%
Operating Margin
1241.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.58
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 20.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.1x; PEG ratio of 10.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 30.7%; Return on assets of 7.8%; Net margin of 7.6%; Gross margin of 29.0%; Current ratio of 1.13 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.58; Free cash flow per share is positive (13.86); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 15.9%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+0.8% -> +17.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 19.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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