BHP · NYSE · STOCK
BHP Group Limited
$90.05
52W $51.83 – $93.83
63/100
$228.68B
22.1
0.84
Is BHP Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates BHP Group Limited (BHP) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +11.69 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -8.31 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -10.2% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 20.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.1% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- EPS declining -10.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 36%
of 95 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 20.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -10.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
76
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.57 across 7 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
66.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.776
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$76.82
Resistance
$93.81
Bollinger %B
0.88
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$88.11
Above
EMA 21
$86.10
Above
EMA 50
$84.53
Above
EMA 200
$75.00
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
75
Profitability
93
Financial Health
82
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.1×
P/B Ratio
4.54×
PEG Ratio
-2.48
Dividend Yield
3.06%
52W High
$93.83
52W Low
$51.83
Quality & Growth
ROE
1892.2%
ROA
829.0%
Gross Margin
8270.7%
Operating Margin
4130.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.63
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 22.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.5x; PEG ratio of -2.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 18.9%; Return on assets of 8.3%; Net margin of 19.0%; Gross margin of 82.7%; Current ratio of 1.65 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.63; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.01); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
Get the Full BHP Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →