NASDAQ · STOCK
Builders FirstSource
$75.03
52W $65.10 – $151.03
50/100
$8.50B
27.9
1.41
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 60% agreement on a bearish lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst: 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 60% agreement on a bearish lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst: 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or below 30 signals oversold conditions — bullish entry bias.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.821) — bearish momentum.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Three Black Crows.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 12.0% downside vs 0.3% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 07, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Growth Analyst
bearish
28
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 29 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 26.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
29.4
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.821
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$65.33
Resistance
$74.46
Bollinger %B
0.17
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$81.45
Below
EMA 21
$80.95
Below
EMA 50
$81.03
Below
EMA 200
$97.76
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
8
Profitability
24
Financial Health
81
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.9×
P/B Ratio
2.61×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
52W High
$151.03
52W Low
$65.10
Quality & Growth
ROE
692.0%
ROA
257.0%
Gross Margin
2989.0%
Operating Margin
417.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
-833.0%
Debt / Equity
1.02
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 27.9 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.6x; Revenue growth (YoY) of -8.3%; EPS growth (YoY) of -66.4%; Return on equity of 6.9%; Return on assets of 2.6%; Net margin of 2.0%; Gross margin of 29.9%; Current ratio of 1.86 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.02; Most recent quarter missed estimates by 28.4%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (-40.4% -> -75.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.821) — bearish momentum.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Three Black Crows.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 12.0% downside vs 0.3% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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