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Celanese (CE) Stock Analysis

Basic Materials Updated October 10, 2026
$45.02
52W $35.13 – $70.70
51/100
$4.94B
-4.2
0.76
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
51/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
+6.1%
-8.5%
0.71:1
Contested

Is CE Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Celanese Corporation (CE) Watch with a composite score of 51/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.09 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.91 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 3.11) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 11 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • ROE of only -28.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
  • Debt-to-equity of 3.11 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
  • Revenue declining -2.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
  • Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.11) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 86%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -28.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst neutral
50 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -2.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst neutral
49 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst bearish
30 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.11) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
63 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 51.1 to 50.9.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
48.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.143
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$41.18
Resistance
$47.77
Bollinger %B
0.38
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$44.96 Above
EMA 21
$45.30 Below
EMA 50
$45.92 Below
EMA 200
$49.84 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
100
Growth
74
Profitability
0
Financial Health
18
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio -4.2×
P/B Ratio 1.19×
PEG Ratio 0.05
Dividend Yield 0.27%
52W High $70.70
52W Low $35.13
Quality & Growth
ROE -2877.2%
ROA -537.0%
Gross Margin 2023.3%
Operating Margin -702.2%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 2.96
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -4.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -28.8%; Return on assets of -5.4%; Net margin of -12.0%; Gross margin of 20.2%; Current ratio of 1.23 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.96; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.45); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 6.6%; EPS growth accelerating (+26.9% -> +188.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 70.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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