SHW · NYSE · STOCK
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) Stock Analysis
$346.70
52W $289.86 – $377.77
65/100
$84.17B
31.7
1.09
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is SHW Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) Buy with a composite score of 65/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.39 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.61 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 7%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened significantly from 53.6 to 64.6.
- Recommendation changed from Watch to Buy.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 68->82 (+14).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 32).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 45).
Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
42.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-2.506
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$329.30
Resistance
$350.44
Bollinger %B
0.27
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$350.84
Below
EMA 21
$349.67
Below
EMA 50
$341.30
Above
EMA 200
$335.68
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
11
Growth
82
Profitability
82
Financial Health
0
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
31.7×
P/B Ratio
22.02×
PEG Ratio
4.31
Dividend Yield
0.92%
52W High
$377.77
52W Low
$289.86
Quality & Growth
ROE
5585.8%
ROA
991.6%
Gross Margin
4906.7%
Operating Margin
1635.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
3.69
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 22.0x; PEG ratio of 4.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 55.9%; Return on assets of 9.9%; Net margin of 11.0%; Gross margin of 49.1%; Current ratio of 0.73 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.69; Free cash flow per share is positive (13.13); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+5.4% -> +57.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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