MOS · NYSE · STOCK
Mosaic (MOS) Stock Analysis
$24.43
52W $19.80 – $36.99
60/100
$7.76B
122.0
0.82
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MOS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Mosaic Company (MOS) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.03 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.97 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Supporting evidence favours the bullish case. The main limiting factor is rsi at 72 is in overbought territory. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 17 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- ROE of only -5.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- RSI at 72 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 23%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -5.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 72 is in overbought territory
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 17 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.0 to 60.0.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
71.8
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.098
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$24.12
Resistance
$24.49
Bollinger %B
1.04
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$22.74
Above
EMA 21
$22.55
Above
EMA 50
$22.53
Above
EMA 200
$24.76
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
38
Profitability
12
Financial Health
72
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
122.0×
P/B Ratio
0.68×
PEG Ratio
-1.31
Dividend Yield
3.61%
52W High
$36.99
52W Low
$19.80
Quality & Growth
ROE
447.4%
ROA
220.9%
Gross Margin
1154.8%
Operating Margin
140.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.51
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 122.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.7x; PEG ratio of -1.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 4.5%; Return on assets of 2.2%; Net margin of 0.4%; Gross margin of 11.5%; Current ratio of 1.34 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.51; Free cash flow per share is negative (-2.98); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 20.4%; EPS growth accelerating (-77.3% -> +160.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -74.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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