NASDAQ · STOCK
Mosaic Company
$20.76
52W $19.80 – $38.23
40/100
$6.56B
147.1
0.84
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 40% agreement on a bullish lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst: EPS declining -88.9% YoY despite any revenue growth. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 40% agreement on a bullish lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst: EPS declining -88.9% YoY despite any revenue growth. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.063) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Evening Star.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
40/100
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 145.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -88.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.15 across 13 articles, 14d)
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.063
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Bollinger %B
0.21
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$21.28
Below
EMA 21
$21.67
Below
EMA 50
$22.51
Below
EMA 200
$25.61
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
50
Growth
30
Profitability
1
Financial Health
71
Valuation
P/E Ratio
147.1×
P/B Ratio
0.63×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
4.26%
52W High
$38.23
52W Low
$19.80
Quality & Growth
ROE
37.0%
ROA
18.0%
Gross Margin
1327.0%
Operating Margin
89.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+1234.0%
Debt / Equity
0.42
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 147.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.6x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 12.3%; EPS growth (YoY) of -88.9%; Return on equity of 0.4%; Return on assets of 0.2%; Net margin of 0.4%; Gross margin of 13.3%; Current ratio of 1.31 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.42; Most recent quarter missed estimates by 79.1%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth roughly steady (-78.8% -> -77.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.063) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Evening Star.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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