CHRD · NASDAQ · STOCK
Chord Energy (CHRD) Stock Analysis
$144.53
52W $84.25 – $157.06
67/100
$8.13B
9.7
0.39
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is CHRD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Chord Energy (CHRD) Buy with a composite score of 67/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated September 20, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +8.44 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.56 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.18) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Most analysts agree, and no major concerns are blocking a stronger rating.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 9.3 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.7x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 7.3% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 248.8% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
67/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 2%
of 93 Energy peers
Value Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 9.3 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 248.8% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.18) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2518.64)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 66.6 to 66.6.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-19 to 2026-09-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.895
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$133.69
Resistance
$145.39
Bollinger %B
0.29
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$148.42
Below
EMA 21
$146.83
Below
EMA 50
$141.62
Above
EMA 200
$127.74
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
58
Profitability
23
Financial Health
68
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
9.7×
P/B Ratio
0.97×
PEG Ratio
-0.02
Dividend Yield
3.60%
52W High
$157.06
52W Low
$84.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
55.0%
ROA
33.2%
Gross Margin
2739.4%
Operating Margin
1892.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.18
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 9.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.6%; Return on assets of 0.3%; Net margin of 13.4%; Gross margin of 27.4%; Current ratio of 1.22 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.18; Free cash flow per share is positive (21.22); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 3.7%; EPS growth decelerating (+256.2% -> +41.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 259.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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