STAG · NYSE · STOCK
STAG Industrial (STAG) Stock Analysis
$37.68
52W $34.40 – $42.61
68/100
$7.27B
29.0
0.97
Is STAG Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates STAG Industrial (STAG) Buy with a composite score of 68/100
, based on 5 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +7.03 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -12.97 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 3059.07). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Stochastic RSI (90.6) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
68/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 3%
of 80 Real Estate peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 59.3 to 68.0.
- Conviction changed from moderate to unanimous.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 67% to 100%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Risk Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 68->82 (+14).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 52->70 (+18).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 48).
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.188
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$37.31
Resistance
$38.58
Bollinger %B
0.97
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$37.33
Above
EMA 21
$37.42
Above
EMA 50
$37.92
Below
EMA 200
$37.92
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
46
Growth
85
Profitability
69
Financial Health
39
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
29.0×
P/B Ratio
1.98×
PEG Ratio
12.28
Dividend Yield
3.70%
52W High
$42.61
52W Low
$34.40
Quality & Growth
ROE
760.6%
ROA
379.4%
Gross Margin
6195.6%
Operating Margin
3758.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.96
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 29.0 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.0x; PEG ratio of 12.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.6%; Return on assets of 3.8%; Net margin of 28.0%; Gross margin of 62.0%; Current ratio of 0.48 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.96; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.33); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.6%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-27.3% -> -12.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 3.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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