STAG · NYSE · STOCK
STAG Industrial (STAG) Stock Analysis
$35.85
52W $35.14 – $42.61
55/100
$7.03B
28.0
0.96
Is STAG Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates STAG Industrial (STAG) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.16 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.84 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.67 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 4.1% pays you to wait — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 28.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.67 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 43%
of 80 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 4.1% pays you to wait
− P/E of 28.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.67 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.7 to 54.8.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Technical Analyst: score 42->52 (+10); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.009
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$35.65
Resistance
$35.87
Bollinger %B
0.27
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$36.12
Below
EMA 21
$36.42
Below
EMA 50
$36.99
Below
EMA 200
$37.61
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
47
Growth
85
Profitability
69
Financial Health
39
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
28.0×
P/B Ratio
1.92×
PEG Ratio
11.87
Dividend Yield
4.21%
52W High
$42.61
52W Low
$35.14
Quality & Growth
ROE
760.6%
ROA
379.4%
Gross Margin
6195.6%
Operating Margin
3758.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.96
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 28.0 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of 11.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.6%; Return on assets of 3.8%; Net margin of 28.0%; Gross margin of 62.0%; Current ratio of 0.48 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.96; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.33); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.6%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-27.3% -> -12.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 3.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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