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DIS · NYSE · STOCK

Walt Disney (DIS) Stock Analysis

Communication Services Updated August 25, 2026
$110.59
52W $92.19 – $119.78
56/100
$187.13B
22.2
1.40
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
56/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
+1.0%
-1.5%
0.66:1
Contested

Is DIS Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) Watch with a composite score of 56/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated August 25, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.52 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.48 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.71 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
  • EPS declining -24.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • Current ratio of 0.71 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 15.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 57%
of 54 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
Growth Analyst neutral
56 / 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -24.0% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst bullish
61 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.71 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst neutral
60 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 56.5 to 56.5.

Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
69.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.557
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$106.17
Resistance
$108.83
Bollinger %B
0.85
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$105.41 Above
EMA 21
$102.96 Above
EMA 50
$101.22 Above
EMA 200
$103.50 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
89
Growth
91
Profitability
52
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 22.2×
P/B Ratio 1.70×
PEG Ratio -0.93
Dividend Yield 1.39%
52W High $119.78
52W Low $92.19
Quality & Growth
ROE 1129.0%
ROA 628.0%
Gross Margin 3759.5%
Operating Margin 1600.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.42
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of -0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.3%; Return on assets of 6.3%; Net margin of 8.7%; Gross margin of 37.6%; Current ratio of 0.71 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.42; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.77); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-3.7% -> +31.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 27.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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