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DIS · NYSE · STOCK

Walt Disney (DIS) Stock Analysis

Communication Services Updated August 18, 2026
$103.49
52W $92.19 – $119.78
62/100
$185.56B
22.0
1.40
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
62/100
Conviction: Contested · 60% agreement · 5 analysts
+1.8%
-0.7%
2.76:1
Contested

Is DIS Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) Buy with a composite score of 62/100 , based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement. Last updated August 18, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.03 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.97 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 16.5% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 193 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • RSI at 77 is in overbought territory — Technical
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 16.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 18, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 33%
of 51 Communication Services peers
Growth Analyst bullish
82 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 77 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
80 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst bullish
64 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 193 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score strengthened from 57.5 to 62.0.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 56->82 (+26).
  • Value Analyst abstained (was bullish at 62).

Comparing 2026-08-17 to 2026-08-18 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
76.5
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.883
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$106.17
Resistance
$108.83
Bollinger %B
0.94
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$103.35 Above
EMA 21
$101.03 Above
EMA 50
$100.16 Above
EMA 200
$103.37 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
90
Growth
91
Profitability
52
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 22.0×
P/B Ratio 1.69×
PEG Ratio -0.92
Dividend Yield 1.40%
52W High $119.78
52W Low $92.19
Quality & Growth
ROE 1129.0%
ROA 628.0%
Gross Margin 3759.5%
Operating Margin 1600.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.42
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of -0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.3%; Return on assets of 6.3%; Net margin of 8.7%; Gross margin of 37.6%; Current ratio of 0.71 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.42; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.77); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-3.7% -> +31.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 27.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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Explore DIS Further

📈 Rating History 💰 Earnings 📰 Recent Events 🔄 What Changed 📖 Thesis Evolution 🔍 Similar Stocks
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