DIS · NYSE · STOCK
Walt Disney (DIS) Stock Analysis
$103.49
52W $92.19 – $119.78
62/100
$185.56B
22.0
1.40
Is DIS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 18, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.03 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.97 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 16.5% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 193 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- RSI at 77 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 18, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 33%
of 51 Communication Services peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 77 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 193 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 57.5 to 62.0.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 56->82 (+26).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bullish at 62).
Comparing 2026-08-17 to 2026-08-18 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
76.5
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.883
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$106.17
Resistance
$108.83
Bollinger %B
0.94
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$103.35
Above
EMA 21
$101.03
Above
EMA 50
$100.16
Above
EMA 200
$103.37
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
90
Growth
91
Profitability
52
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.0×
P/B Ratio
1.69×
PEG Ratio
-0.92
Dividend Yield
1.40%
52W High
$119.78
52W Low
$92.19
Quality & Growth
ROE
1129.0%
ROA
628.0%
Gross Margin
3759.5%
Operating Margin
1600.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.42
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of -0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.3%; Return on assets of 6.3%; Net margin of 8.7%; Gross margin of 37.6%; Current ratio of 0.71 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.42; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.77); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-3.7% -> +31.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 27.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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