EMN · NYSE · STOCK
Eastman Chemical (EMN) Stock Analysis
$71.19
52W $56.11 – $83.47
61/100
$8.14B
18.4
1.09
Is EMN Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Eastman Chemical Company (EMN) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.21 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.79 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -4.5% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.9% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 4 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -4.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -46.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 43%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -4.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 4 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.8 to 60.8.
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.403
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$70.92
Resistance
$77.74
Bollinger %B
0.16
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$71.86
Below
EMA 21
$72.14
Below
EMA 50
$71.77
Below
EMA 200
$71.77
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Growth
74
Profitability
24
Financial Health
70
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.4×
P/B Ratio
1.33×
PEG Ratio
-0.40
Dividend Yield
4.71%
52W High
$83.47
52W Low
$56.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
795.2%
ROA
319.0%
Gross Margin
1987.6%
Operating Margin
940.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.86
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of -0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.0%; Return on assets of 3.2%; Net margin of 5.0%; Gross margin of 19.9%; Current ratio of 1.50 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.86; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.72); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.4%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+45.3% -> +80.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 23.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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