EMN · NYSE · STOCK
Eastman Chemical (EMN) Stock Analysis
$62.70
52W $56.11 – $83.47
57/100
$7.17B
16.2
1.08
Is EMN Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Eastman Chemical Company (EMN) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.30 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.70 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.9% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.30 across 10 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -4.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -46.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 56%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -4.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.30 across 10 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.2 to 56.7.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: score 49->41 (-8); +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
28.5
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.107
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$56.85
Resistance
$70.57
Bollinger %B
-0.01
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$64.20
Below
EMA 21
$65.71
Below
EMA 50
$67.90
Below
EMA 200
$70.50
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
98
Growth
74
Profitability
24
Financial Health
70
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.2×
P/B Ratio
1.18×
PEG Ratio
-0.35
Dividend Yield
5.36%
52W High
$83.47
52W Low
$56.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
795.2%
ROA
319.0%
Gross Margin
1987.6%
Operating Margin
940.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.86
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of -0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.0%; Return on assets of 3.2%; Net margin of 5.0%; Gross margin of 19.9%; Current ratio of 1.50 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.86; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.72); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.4%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+45.3% -> +80.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 23.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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