ERO · NYSE · STOCK
Ero Copper Corp.
$36.28
52W $13.37 – $39.80
70/100
$3.79B
12.2
1.59
Is ERO Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) Buy with a composite score of 70/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +5.03 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -14.97 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is revenue growing 88.7% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. The main limiting factor is rsi at 88 is in overbought territory. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 12.2 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 31.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 88.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 1500.5% YoY — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- RSI at 88 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 53.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
70/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 3%
of 95 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 12.2 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 88.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 88 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Bollinger bandwidth of 53.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.62 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
87.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.200
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$24.41
Resistance
$39.75
Bollinger %B
1.05
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$32.01
Above
EMA 21
$29.38
Above
EMA 50
$28.15
Above
EMA 200
$26.26
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
92
Profitability
89
Financial Health
74
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.2×
P/B Ratio
3.11×
PEG Ratio
0.10
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$39.80
52W Low
$13.37
Quality & Growth
ROE
2873.5%
ROA
1397.3%
Gross Margin
4290.9%
Operating Margin
3614.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 12.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.1x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 28.7%; Return on assets of 14.0%; Net margin of 29.7%; Gross margin of 42.9%; Current ratio of 1.37 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.47; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.47); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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