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Element Solutions (ESI) Stock Analysis

Basic Materials Updated September 06, 2026
$36.01
52W $22.86 – $49.25
54/100
$8.78B
49.0
1.26
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
54/100
Conviction: Contested · 33% agreement · 6 analysts
+4.6%
-5.3%
0.88:1
Contested

Is ESI Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Element Solutions Inc (ESI) Watch with a composite score of 54/100 , based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement. Last updated September 06, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.90 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.10 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 17.1% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Revenue growing 26.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
  • 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
  • P/E of 49.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
  • EPS declining -25.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 17.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
  • Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (8d ago) — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 84%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst bearish
38 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 49.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst bullish
68 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 26.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -25.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
80 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst neutral
46 / 100 · Moderate confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− Negative filing: Termination of a material agreement (8d ago)
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 54.1 to 54.1.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
52.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.028
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$34.10
Resistance
$37.68
Bollinger %B
0.44
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$35.45 Above
EMA 21
$36.22 Below
EMA 50
$37.73 Below
EMA 200
$35.63 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
58
Growth
77
Profitability
37
Financial Health
94
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 49.0×
P/B Ratio 3.12×
PEG Ratio -1.88
Dividend Yield 0.89%
52W High $49.25
52W Low $22.86
Quality & Growth
ROE 713.4%
ROA 374.0%
Gross Margin 3842.0%
Operating Margin 1255.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.75
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 49.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.1x; PEG ratio of -1.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.1%; Return on assets of 3.7%; Net margin of 5.7%; Gross margin of 38.4%; Current ratio of 2.91 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.75; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.54); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+10.8% -> +14.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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