ESI · NYSE · STOCK
Element Solutions (ESI) Stock Analysis
$36.32
52W $19.74 – $49.25
53/100
$8.85B
49.4
1.26
Is ESI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Element Solutions Inc (ESI) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.53 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.47 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 26.6% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 26.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 49.6 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- EPS declining -25.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 22.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 71%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 49.6 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 26.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -25.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.5 to 53.5.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.252
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$34.10
Resistance
$37.68
Bollinger %B
0.65
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$36.60
Below
EMA 21
$35.99
Above
EMA 50
$36.36
Below
EMA 200
$35.55
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
58
Growth
77
Profitability
37
Financial Health
94
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
49.4×
P/B Ratio
3.15×
PEG Ratio
-1.90
Dividend Yield
0.88%
52W High
$49.25
52W Low
$19.74
Quality & Growth
ROE
713.4%
ROA
374.0%
Gross Margin
3842.0%
Operating Margin
1255.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.75
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 49.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.1x; PEG ratio of -1.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.1%; Return on assets of 3.7%; Net margin of 5.7%; Gross margin of 38.4%; Current ratio of 2.91 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.75; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.54); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+10.8% -> +14.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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