GFI · NYSE · STOCK
Gold Fields (GFI) Stock Analysis
$36.84
52W $31.11 – $61.64
56/100
$32.95B
7.3
0.64
Is GFI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Gold Fields Limited (GFI) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.49 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.51 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 124.1% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 7.3 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 49.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 124.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 133.3% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 33.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 63%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 7.3 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 4.8x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 124.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
bearish
39
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 33.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.5 to 55.5.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.280
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$35.49
Resistance
$47.15
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$36.62
Above
EMA 21
$38.61
Below
EMA 50
$39.83
Below
EMA 200
$40.18
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
56
Profitability
98
Financial Health
95
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.3×
P/B Ratio
3.65×
PEG Ratio
0.07
Dividend Yield
6.43%
52W High
$61.64
52W Low
$31.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
4243.6%
ROA
2350.4%
Gross Margin
5731.1%
Operating Margin
5323.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.29
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 7.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.7x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 42.4%; Return on assets of 23.5%; Net margin of 39.3%; Gross margin of 57.3%; Current ratio of 1.87 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.29; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.08); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.0%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-366.7% -> +237.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 237.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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