GGG · NYSE · STOCK
Graco (GGG) Stock Analysis
$77.89
52W $72.51 – $95.69
68/100
$12.61B
24.1
0.92
Is GGG Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Graco Inc. (GGG) Buy with a composite score of 68/100
, based on 4 analysts with 75% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +6.73 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -13.27 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.36 across 11 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
68/100
Agreement
75%
Analysts
4
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 2%
of 226 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.36 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 64.9 to 68.3.
- Conviction changed from moderate to high.
- Committee agreement increased modestly from 67% to 75%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 62->85 (+22).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bullish at 80).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 59).
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
38.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.596
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$77.51
Resistance
$79.33
Bollinger %B
0.20
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$78.63
Below
EMA 21
$79.45
Below
EMA 50
$79.08
Below
EMA 200
$81.03
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
54
Growth
75
Profitability
95
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.1×
P/B Ratio
5.11×
PEG Ratio
1.92
Dividend Yield
1.49%
52W High
$95.69
52W Low
$72.51
Quality & Growth
ROE
1966.3%
ROA
1593.8%
Gross Margin
5264.2%
Operating Margin
2743.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.02
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.1x; PEG ratio of 1.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 19.7%; Return on assets of 15.9%; Net margin of 23.5%; Gross margin of 52.6%; Current ratio of 2.99 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.02; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.73); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.8%; EPS growth accelerating (-14.3% -> +37.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 21.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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