MSA · NYSE · STOCK
MSA Safety (MSA) Stock Analysis
$189.06
52W $151.11 – $208.92
69/100
$7.25B
23.3
0.94
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MSA Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates MSA Safety (MSA) Buy with a composite score of 69/100
, based on 5 analysts with 100% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +5.89 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -14.11 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 3059.07). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
69/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Unanimous
Sector Rank
Top 1%
of 226 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 65.0 to 69.1.
- Conviction changed from high to unanimous.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 83% to 100%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 68->82 (+14).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 59).
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.972
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$178.69
Resistance
$195.50
Bollinger %B
0.27
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$188.58
Above
EMA 21
$187.79
Above
EMA 50
$182.68
Above
EMA 200
$175.00
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
60
Growth
81
Profitability
87
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
23.3×
P/B Ratio
5.20×
PEG Ratio
1.59
Dividend Yield
1.14%
52W High
$208.92
52W Low
$151.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
2040.4%
ROA
1091.9%
Gross Margin
4757.1%
Operating Margin
2331.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.46
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 23.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.2x; PEG ratio of 1.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 20.4%; Return on assets of 10.9%; Net margin of 16.1%; Gross margin of 47.6%; Current ratio of 3.24 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.46; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.12); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.3%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-16.4% -> +20.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 24.4%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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