MSA · NYSE · STOCK
MSA Safety (MSA) Stock Analysis
$182.25
52W $151.10 – $208.92
63/100
$7.02B
22.6
0.91
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MSA Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates MSA Safety (MSA) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.02 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.98 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 23.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 18%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 23.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 4.6x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 65.5 to 63.0.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.280
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$178.69
Resistance
$182.79
Bollinger %B
0.60
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$181.14
Above
EMA 21
$181.58
Above
EMA 50
$181.75
Above
EMA 200
$176.59
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
63
Growth
81
Profitability
87
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.6×
P/B Ratio
5.04×
PEG Ratio
1.54
Dividend Yield
1.18%
52W High
$208.92
52W Low
$151.10
Quality & Growth
ROE
2040.4%
ROA
1091.9%
Gross Margin
4757.1%
Operating Margin
2331.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.46
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.0x; PEG ratio of 1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 20.4%; Return on assets of 10.9%; Net margin of 16.1%; Gross margin of 47.6%; Current ratio of 3.24 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.46; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.12); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.3%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-16.4% -> +20.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 24.4%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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