GOOG · NASDAQ · STOCK
Alphabet (GOOG) Stock Analysis
$347.89
52W $149.49 – $404.47
65/100
$4.22T
17.3
1.20
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is GOOG Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Alphabet Inc. (Class C) (GOOG) Buy with a composite score of 65/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +9.67 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -10.33 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.12) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 50.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 115.3% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.12) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 248 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 9.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 5%
of 55 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 50.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 9.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 115.3% YoY
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.12) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 248 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 65.3 to 65.3.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
61.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.959
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$325.66
Resistance
$350.10
Bollinger %B
0.81
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$343.86
Above
EMA 21
$342.16
Above
EMA 50
$343.01
Above
EMA 200
$328.27
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
71
Growth
74
Profitability
100
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.3×
P/B Ratio
6.60×
PEG Ratio
0.15
Dividend Yield
0.25%
52W High
$404.47
52W Low
$149.49
Quality & Growth
ROE
3182.8%
ROA
2220.3%
Gross Margin
6089.7%
Operating Margin
3314.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.18
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.6x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 31.8%; Return on assets of 22.2%; Net margin of 54.8%; Gross margin of 60.9%; Current ratio of 2.72 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.18; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.38); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 4.4%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-7.1% -> +8.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 23.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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