HII · NYSE · STOCK
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) Stock Analysis
$294.71
52W $263.62 – $460.00
59/100
$11.61B
17.5
0.24
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is HII Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.01 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.99 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 18.2% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 16 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 38%
of 226 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 28 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 16 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.1 to 59.0.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 79->82 (+4).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 58).
Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
25.6
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-4.097
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$265.00
Resistance
$298.02
Bollinger %B
0.11
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$308.82
Below
EMA 21
$309.40
Below
EMA 50
$307.98
Below
EMA 200
$323.13
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
93
Growth
85
Profitability
33
Financial Health
67
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.5×
P/B Ratio
2.19×
PEG Ratio
0.68
Dividend Yield
1.86%
52W High
$460.00
52W Low
$263.62
Quality & Growth
ROE
1192.6%
ROA
474.5%
Gross Margin
1256.0%
Operating Margin
518.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.55
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.9%; Return on assets of 4.7%; Net margin of 5.0%; Gross margin of 12.6%; Current ratio of 1.23 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.55; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.52); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 37.2%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-6.2% -> +39.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 36.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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