NOC · NYSE · STOCK
Northrop Grumman (NOC) Stock Analysis
$551.11
52W $479.02 – $774.00
64/100
$78.28B
17.5
-0.11
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is NOC Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Northrop Grumman (NOC) Buy with a composite score of 64/100
, based on 4 analysts with 75% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.59 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.41 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
75%
Analysts
4
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 13%
of 226 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 59.7 to 64.4.
- Conviction changed from moderate to high.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 60% to 75%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 68->82 (+14).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 55).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
38.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.516
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$543.66
Resistance
$555.06
Bollinger %B
0.33
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$569.17
Below
EMA 21
$562.14
Below
EMA 50
$556.25
Below
EMA 200
$580.62
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
80
Growth
75
Profitability
58
Financial Health
55
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.5×
P/B Ratio
4.38×
PEG Ratio
1.09
Dividend Yield
1.71%
52W High
$774.00
52W Low
$479.02
Quality & Growth
ROE
2508.1%
ROA
814.0%
Gross Margin
2006.0%
Operating Margin
1018.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.91
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.4x; PEG ratio of 1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 25.1%; Return on assets of 8.1%; Net margin of 10.5%; Gross margin of 20.1%; Current ratio of 1.17 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.91; Free cash flow per share is positive (25.66); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.5%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-15.1% -> +25.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 8.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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