LMT · NYSE · STOCK
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock Analysis
$525.29
52W $437.25 – $692.00
55/100
$121.23B
19.3
0.10
Is LMT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Lockheed Martin (LMT) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.56 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.44 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 3.23) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 86.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 52.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 16.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 3.23 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- RSI at 21 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.23) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 77%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 86.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 16.7x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 52.8% YoY
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 21 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.23) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.4 to 55.4.
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
20.7
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-7.452
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$500.48
Resistance
$550.80
Bollinger %B
0.06
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$547.07
Below
EMA 21
$559.67
Below
EMA 50
$557.97
Below
EMA 200
$546.26
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
61
Growth
82
Profitability
56
Financial Health
20
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.3×
P/B Ratio
13.79×
PEG Ratio
0.36
Dividend Yield
2.63%
52W High
$692.00
52W Low
$437.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
7464.7%
ROA
838.4%
Gross Margin
1179.7%
Operating Margin
1188.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.34
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 13.8x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 74.6%; Return on assets of 8.4%; Net margin of 8.2%; Gross margin of 11.8%; Current ratio of 1.19 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.34; Free cash flow per share is positive (37.92); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-13.3% -> +23.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 8.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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