LMT · NYSE · STOCK
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock Analysis
$509.68
52W $437.25 – $692.00
55/100
$117.61B
18.7
0.10
Is LMT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Lockheed Martin (LMT) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.43 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.57 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 52.8% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 3.23) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 86.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 52.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 138 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 16.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 3.23 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.23) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 72%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 86.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 16.7x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 52.8% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.23) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 138 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.7 to 54.6.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 39->46 (+8); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.316
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$500.48
Resistance
$515.96
Bollinger %B
0.31
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$509.61
Above
EMA 21
$518.98
Below
EMA 50
$533.26
Below
EMA 200
$540.66
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
62
Growth
82
Profitability
56
Financial Health
20
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.7×
P/B Ratio
13.38×
PEG Ratio
0.35
Dividend Yield
2.71%
52W High
$692.00
52W Low
$437.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
7464.7%
ROA
838.4%
Gross Margin
1179.7%
Operating Margin
1188.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.34
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 13.4x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 74.6%; Return on assets of 8.4%; Net margin of 8.2%; Gross margin of 11.8%; Current ratio of 1.19 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.34; Free cash flow per share is positive (37.92); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-13.3% -> +23.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 8.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full LMT Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →