LMT · NYSE · STOCK
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock Analysis
$563.56
52W $437.25 – $692.00
55/100
$130.20B
20.7
0.11
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is LMT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Lockheed Martin (LMT) Buy with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +19.72 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -0.28 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 52.8% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 3.23) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 86.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 52.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 16.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 3.23 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.23) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 65%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 86.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 16.7x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 52.8% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.23) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.3 to 55.3.
Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-5.942
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$500.48
Resistance
$616.95
Bollinger %B
0.09
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$581.07
Below
EMA 21
$577.85
Below
EMA 50
$562.18
Above
EMA 200
$545.97
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
59
Growth
82
Profitability
56
Financial Health
20
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.7×
P/B Ratio
14.81×
PEG Ratio
0.39
Dividend Yield
2.42%
52W High
$692.00
52W Low
$437.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
7464.7%
ROA
838.4%
Gross Margin
1179.7%
Operating Margin
1188.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.34
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 20.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 14.8x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 74.6%; Return on assets of 8.4%; Net margin of 8.2%; Gross margin of 11.8%; Current ratio of 1.19 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.34; Free cash flow per share is positive (37.92); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-13.3% -> +23.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 8.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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