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RTX · NYSE · STOCK

RTX (RTX) Stock Analysis

Industrials Updated August 25, 2026
$209.26
52W $150.61 – $226.88
60/100
$281.98B
36.4
0.29
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
60/100
Conviction: High · 80% agreement · 5 analysts
+2.4%
-18.4%
0.13:1
High
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.

Is RTX Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates RTX Corporation (RTX) Buy with a composite score of 60/100 , based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement. Last updated August 25, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.45 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.55 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

Supporting evidence favours the bullish case. The main limiting factor is p/e of 38.4 is moderate-to-rich. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait — Value
  • 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
  • Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
  • Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 61 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • P/E of 38.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 35%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait
− P/E of 38.4 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst bullish
60 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst bullish
61 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
64 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 61 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 59.5 to 59.5.

Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
29.6
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-2.519
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$170.78
Resistance
$214.31
Bollinger %B
0.00
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$216.14 Below
EMA 21
$215.20 Below
EMA 50
$206.68 Above
EMA 200
$189.05 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
50
Growth
78
Profitability
33
Financial Health
57
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 36.4×
P/B Ratio 4.25×
PEG Ratio 1.46
Dividend Yield 1.35%
52W High $226.88
52W Low $150.61
Quality & Growth
ROE 1031.8%
ROA 393.5%
Gross Margin 2034.6%
Operating Margin 1121.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.59
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 36.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.3x; PEG ratio of 1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.3%; Return on assets of 3.9%; Net margin of 8.3%; Gross margin of 20.3%; Current ratio of 1.01 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.59; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.91); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 12.6%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+14.8% -> +6.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 21.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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