RTX · NYSE · STOCK
RTX (RTX) Stock Analysis
$185.97
52W $155.64 – $226.88
59/100
$250.64B
32.3
0.31
Is RTX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates RTX Corporation (RTX) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +0.60 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -19.40 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 104 articles, 14d). The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 104 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 37%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait
− P/E of 32.4 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 104 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.0 to 59.4.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 48->58 (+10); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.229
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$170.78
Resistance
$214.31
Bollinger %B
0.35
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$185.21
Above
EMA 21
$189.61
Below
EMA 50
$195.76
Below
EMA 200
$190.48
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
60
Growth
78
Profitability
33
Financial Health
57
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.3×
P/B Ratio
3.78×
PEG Ratio
1.29
Dividend Yield
1.52%
52W High
$226.88
52W Low
$155.64
Quality & Growth
ROE
1031.8%
ROA
393.5%
Gross Margin
2034.6%
Operating Margin
1121.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.59
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.8x; PEG ratio of 1.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 10.3%; Return on assets of 3.9%; Net margin of 8.3%; Gross margin of 20.3%; Current ratio of 1.01 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.59; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.34); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 12.6%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+14.8% -> +6.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 21.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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