HLNE · NASDAQ · STOCK
Hamilton Lane (HLNE) Stock Analysis
$87.64
52W $71.88 – $155.66
63/100
$4.91B
13.3
1.20
Is HLNE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Hamilton Lane (HLNE) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 22, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +11.67 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -8.33 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Technical Analyst remains cautious — rsi at 20 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 31.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 8 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 6.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- RSI at 20 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 28.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 44%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 31.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 20 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Bollinger bandwidth of 28.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
74
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.8 to 63.3.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 65->80 (+15); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: score 45->55 (+10); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
19.5
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-2.021
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$85.32
Resistance
$94.11
Bollinger %B
0.11
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$92.45
Below
EMA 21
$96.27
Below
EMA 50
$95.70
Below
EMA 200
$103.78
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
88
Growth
95
Profitability
100
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.3×
P/B Ratio
3.93×
PEG Ratio
0.51
Dividend Yield
2.58%
52W High
$155.66
52W Low
$71.88
Quality & Growth
ROE
2722.6%
ROA
1081.1%
Gross Margin
6989.1%
Operating Margin
4362.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.39
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.9x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 27.2%; Return on assets of 10.8%; Net margin of 32.1%; Gross margin of 69.9%; Current ratio of 4.05 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.39; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.40); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 23.4%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-3.9% -> +30.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 48.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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