IAG · NYSE · STOCK
Iamgold (IAG) Stock Analysis
$18.81
52W $10.87 – $24.87
59/100
$10.87B
9.4
2.25
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is IAG Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Iamgold Corporation (IAG) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.69 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.31 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 9.1 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 9.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 28.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 87.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 42.5% YoY — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 37%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
76
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 9.1 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 87.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.3 to 59.3.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.128
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$16.03
Resistance
$18.91
Bollinger %B
0.38
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$18.64
Above
EMA 21
$19.02
Below
EMA 50
$18.80
Above
EMA 200
$17.17
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Growth
52
Profitability
89
Financial Health
88
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
9.4×
P/B Ratio
2.47×
PEG Ratio
0.22
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$24.87
52W Low
$10.87
Quality & Growth
ROE
1615.8%
ROA
1067.0%
Gross Margin
4989.2%
Operating Margin
4711.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.12
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 9.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.2%; Return on assets of 10.7%; Net margin of 31.5%; Gross margin of 49.9%; Current ratio of 1.71 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.12; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.73); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 20.0%; EPS growth decelerating (-4.3% -> -37.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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